Tom Nash

The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to NVIDIA (Emergency Update)

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• NVDA▲bullishlong-termThe host remains extremely bullish on NVIDIA because AI demand, CUDA, networking, talent, and the roadmap are unchanged, and the valuation is attractive.Source
• AI Capex↗positive for stockslong-termHyperscalers are still pouring hundreds of billions into AI infrastructure, so AI demand remains intact and customers are not canceling orders.Source
• Market Breadth↗positive for stocksshort-termMoney rotated within AI and semiconductors to scandal-free names rather than leaving the sector, which the host reads as healthy rotation.Source

• SPY●neutrallong-termThe host recommends keeping 40-50% of a portfolio in the S&P 500 as a foundational diversification allocation.Source
• PLTR●neutralPalantir is far more dependent on Alex Karp's vision and culture than NVIDIA, so key-man risk is higher.Source
• NVDA●neutralshort-termThe host expects no straight line in NVIDIA over the next few weeks, with volatility from the investigation, transition, and media cycle.Source

The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks (Emergency Update)

6 bull · 0 bear · 0 neutralYouTube

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• MSFT▲bullishlong-termUsing Microsoft as an example, the host notes its repeated 10-30% drawdowns over 15 years were each buying opportunities because earnings and fundamentals kept improving.Source
• NVDA▲bullishlong-termThe host notes Nvidia's 500% five-year gain included drops of 54%, 36%, and multiple 20% declines, implying such drawdowns were opportunities within a long-term uptrend.Source
• PLTR▲bullishlong-termThe host says Palantir has changed his life since going public, up 1600%, and frames its dozens of double-digit drops as opportunities to build positions — indicating he holds it long-term.Source

• SPY▲bullishmid-termThe host frames the 5% pullback as a sentiment-driven crash, not fundamental, with S&P profits growing 30%; recovery should take weeks to months, making the dip a buying opportunity.Source
• AI Capex↗positive for stockslong-termThe host dismisses data-center ban fears: Congress lacks the votes, Texas would not commit economic suicide by losing jobs and tax revenue, and demand would relocate to other states or countries anyway.Source
• Market Breadth↗positive for stocksmid-termThe host discloses zero shares sold, no change to plan, and sideline cash from prior trims ready to deploy at current cheap prices — treating the selloff as a buying opportunity.Source

I'm Getting Palantir $7 Vibes RIGHT NOW...

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• Market Breadth↘negative for stocksshort-termHe notes the overall market is weak, with tech, AI, and growth getting hammered while most other sectors are fine — a sentiment backdrop, not a company-specific issue.Source
• PLTR▲bullishshort-termThe post-earnings drop stems from profit-taking, valuation worries, and broad tech sentiment, none business-related — making it an obvious buy in his framework.Source
• PLTR▲bullishlong-term165 net dollar retention and top-20 customers spending 76% more show switching costs, network effects, and a fortress moat, while multiples keep compressing as revenue outpaces valuation.Source

• AI Capex↗positive for stockslong-termCiting the Jevons paradox, he argues falling AI usage costs will drive adoption through the roof and expand the total addressable market, benefiting the software operating layer.Source
• PLTR▲bullishlong-termHe sets a $978 target for 2030, calling it a somewhat conservative bull case even assuming growth slows to 80% and a 55 PE, and states he plans to make at least 49% per year for the next four years on the stock.Source

Palantir Could Hit $1,000 (But ONLY If This Happens TODAY)

2 bull · 1 bear · 0 neutralYouTube

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• PLTR▼bearishshort-termThe host believes the stock is priced for perfection, so even a beat more likely than not leads to a 5–15% short-term drop unless Palantir delivers a triple beat on guidance, consensus, and acceleration.Source
• PLTR▲bullishshort-termThe host is confident Palantir will beat its own guidance since management habitually sandbags it, though he stresses beating guidance alone is not enough to lift the stock.Source
• PLTR▲bullishlong-termThe host discloses he is buying Palantir now and sets a new long-term price target of $1,000, with $500 as his bear-case floor and $717 as base case, citing accelerating fundamentals and a cheaper valuation.Source

I’m seeing the Palantir setup again

7 bull · 0 bear · 0 neutralYouTube

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• Market Breadth↗positive for stockslong-termThe host argues the market is in the capitulation/anger stage of a repeating sentiment cycle, and that this fearful phase — not euphoria — is where the money is made.Source
• FTNT▲bullishlong-termFortinet fell 26% over a trivial guidance difference (5.15 vs 5.17 billion) despite 20% growth, 52% free cash flow growth and 4x cash to debt — the host calls it a 26% discount on a wonderful cybersecurity business.Source
• GOOGL▲bullishlong-termGoogle fell 10% on a 0.3% revenue miss and capex concerns, but cloud grew 103% with a 560 billion backlog; the host calls the capex the right long-game move and names Google a core 'new Palantir setup' pick.Source

• AI Capex↗positive for stockslong-termThe host argues that for hyperscalers the risk of NOT spending on capex far outweighs annoying short-term investors; the market punishing all spending regardless of purpose is irrational given the returns already generated.Source
• NVDA▲bullishlong-termNVIDIA returned only 4% in a year, lagging the S&P 500, yet revenues are up 106% with a 13.5x forward PE and 65% operating margin — the host calls this AI monopoly one of the best setups he has ever seen.Source
• PLTR▲bullishlong-termPalantir underperformed the S&P 500 while revenues grew 93% and its forward PE was slashed from 110 to 57, making this software monopoly reasonably priced and a wonderful setup.Source
• AMZN▲bullishlong-termAmazon grew operating income 43%, is the biggest cloud provider sold out into 2026-2027, trades at 18x forward earnings and 3x sales — the host calls it an elite setup at a punishing discount.Source

🚨MAJOR BUY: Last EASY Wealth Opportunity For Decades

11 bull · 0 bear · 1 neutralYouTube

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• Valuation↗positive for stockslong-termS&P 500 forward PE of 19 sits at the 10-year average while earnings grow ~30%; stagnant valuations plus rising earnings make a good setup.Source
• Bonds & Rates●neutralRates are high and money is expensive, which makes investors selective and prevents bubbles from forming.Source
• Market Breadth↗positive for stocksmid-termThe fear and greed index at 21, extreme fear, shows investors are bracing rather than complacent; crashes happen under complacency, so this is contrarian bullish.Source

• AI Capex↗positive for stockslong-termPhase two of the AI cycle, implementation, is virtually untapped and misunderstood; outsized returns will come from companies building on the new tech.Source
• AMZN▲bullishlong-termAmazon is his phase-two example: it fell 95% from 1999-2001 yet built its business on new tech and remains one of the best stocks in the market.Source
• VRT▲bullishlong-termVertiv was added last year and is up 80%; the host says it remains a very attractive investment along with the other first-wave names.Source
• ANET▲bullishlong-termArista was added in 2023 and rose 300%; the host says it remains a very attractive investment along with the other first-wave names.Source
• AMD▲bullishlong-termAMD gained 560% since being added; the host says it and the other first-wave names remain very attractive investments.Source
• NVDA▲bullishlong-termNVIDIA was added in 2020 and rose 1,400%; the host says these first-wave infrastructure holdings remain very attractive investments.Source
• TSM▲bullishlong-termTSM was added in 2021 and rose 231%; the host says it remains a very attractive investment along with the other first-wave names.Source
• ARM▲bullishlong-termARM is down 50% while revenue grows 22% with $4B cash and zero debt; it owns the semiconductor blueprint via licensing and scored 115/125 on his scorecard.Source
• APP▲bullishlong-termAppLovin is down 65% with ~50% growth, ~60% free cash flow growth, and an AI-driven flywheel; cheaper price with a better business is his ideal setup.Source

Starting at 2pm eastern today!

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The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to the Stock Market (& Why AI Stocks are Next)

3 bull · 0 bear · 1 neutralYouTube

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• Other●neutralshort-termThe host says short-term 20% drops in technology stocks are just 'water weight' and not real weight loss; companies do not become trash in a single day, so such short-term declines are temporary and not a reason to panic.Source
• ZETA▲bullishThe host previously said he loved ZETA and called it massive/huge. Despite the price declining at the time, he focused only on fundamentals: an AI-based product solving a major pain point, revenue up 30% to $1.3 billion, operating income improving 109% YoY, free cash flow up 100%, EBITDA margin up 360%, and more cash than debt. Fundamentals were elite and improving while the price dropped, making it a market misunderstanding.Source
• Other↗positive for stockslong-termIn the long term, the stock market will always price companies correctly based on their fundamentals; fundamentals always drive long-term pricing. Short-term bad pricing and declines are temporary, so investors should hold quality companies and keep investing rather than panic selling.Source

• SPY▲bullishlong-termWhen the S&P 500 is down 10% below its 52-week high, the host doubles down and buys 2X. The S&P 500 compounds at about 10% a year, doubling roughly every 7 years; the market will crash and pull back in the short term, but by holding long term, buying more on declines, and never timing the market, investors benefit from compounding.Source

Tom Nash - Important Update!

1 bull · 0 bear · 4 neutralYouTube

• Geopolitics●neutralThe host cites the war in Iran as a geopolitical factor contributing to chaotic markets and investor anxiety, but gives no directional view on the conflict or related assets.Source
• Other●neutralThe host cites US mid-terms and politics as sources of market chaos and anxious sentiment, without giving a specific directional view on them.Source
• Oil & Energy●neutralThe host mentions oil prices as one of the factors creating chaotic markets and investor anxiety, but does not state a bullish or bearish direction for oil itself.Source

• AI Capex●neutralThe host says AI is going crazy and lists it as a factor behind chaotic markets and confused, anxious investors, but gives no directional view on AI-related names.Source
• Market Breadth↗positive for stockslong-termThe host argues that despite chaotic markets driven by war, oil, politics, and AI, this is one of the greatest investing opportunities of a lifetime; panic, noise, and sentiment are preventing people from seeing it, and he suggests using these uncertain times to build generational wealth over the long term.Source

The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks (but most will invest wrong)

3 bull · 0 bear · 2 neutralYouTube

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• PLTR▲bullishlong-termThe host recalls predicting PLTR would reach 500 within a few years when it traded at 6-7; he focused on fundamentals, bought more on price drops, and 40% of his portfolio is PLTR. He believes the past run was just a preview and the bigger move is yet to come, with long-term compounding creating generational wealth.Source
• Valuation●neutralThe host argues quality is more important than price; if fundamentals improve far more than the share price, the price does not matter. Citing Peter Lynch, he says it is never too late to buy a great company and value matters more than price.Source
• Earnings↗positive for stocksThe host emphasizes earnings are up and increasing every single quarter; earnings are key, and as long as earnings keep increasing, stocks as businesses will rise. Earnings are everything and noise is nothing.Source

• SPY▲bullishThe host says earnings are increasing every quarter and stocks are businesses, so stocks will go up. He notes the S&P 500 rose 54% in less than two years since April 2025 by ignoring noise and focusing on earnings, and 40% of his portfolio is in the S&P 500.Source
• Other●neutralThe host says stock market crashes are a certainty and normal, with drops of 5% multiple times a year, 10% at least once a year, and 20% every couple of years. By understanding the cycle, doubling down in green zones and slowing down in red zones, investors can profit from volatility; algorithmic trading has made cycles faster and created more opportunity.Source