What Moneyvest said in this video:
- MRVLbullishlong-termThe host discloses owning 300 shares of Marvell via put assignment, down about 60% from all-time highs, and believes he got a very good deal.Source
- TQQQbullishlong-termThe host discloses buying 1,000 shares of TQQQ, down over 40% from all-time highs, buying exactly when markets are exhausting to the downside.Source
- Othernegative for stocksshort-termAfter 60%+ single-day VIX spikes, volatility has been crushed back down four out of five times and never closed meaningfully higher, implying the VIX should retrace.Source
- SPYbullishmid-termHistorically, after 60%+ single-day VIX spikes the S&P 500 has never made new lows, so the data heavily suggests the market bottom may be in.Source
- Geopoliticsnegative for stocksshort-termDespite the Democratic midterm sweep, the risk of war escalation with Iran remains high with a third carrier strike group en route, making it a major wild card for markets.Source
- Oil & Energypositive for stocksshort-termRenewed Middle East fighting would spike oil prices again, after oil already rose nearly 14% in October, feeding inflation pressures.Source
- Fed Policynegative for stocksshort-termWith markets pricing a 76% chance of a December rate hike, the host agrees, noting hiking cycles tend to run as a trend rather than a one-off.Source
- Inflationneutralshort-termNext week's CPI print, if hotter than expected, would confirm a December hike since higher oil prices feed indirectly into core goods and services.Source