What Meet Kevin said in this video:
- Inflationnegative for stocksmid-termThe host sees the Truflation CPI read turning higher as bad news, with the 5-year breakeven back to pre-September-hike levels, signaling worsening inflation trends.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termThe host pushes back on housing amber lights, arguing prices in desirable low-build areas are still rising despite high rates, and more building is the fix.Source
- Fed Policynegative for stocksshort-termThe host expects a hold tomorrow, but absent an Iran deal Kevin Warsh is very likely to deliver hawkish commentary, which is bad for markets.Source
- AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termThe host calls SK Hynix earnings fantastic, with the memory supply shortage expected to persist through 2030 and half of 2027-2028 capacity locked in long-term agreements, bullish for the market.Source
- QQQbullishmid-termThe host notes that after the last Warsh catalyst passed, the Nasdaq ran to all-time highs, and the same could happen this time, especially with an Iran deal.Source
- QQQbearishshort-termThe host expects tomorrow's Fed meeting to repeat the September 16 pattern, with hawkish commentary punching the Nasdaq down; it previously fell to 655.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termThe host briefly notes there are many good value opportunities in hardware, though hedged with 'we'll see'.Source
- Bonds & Ratesnegative for stocksmid-termWithout an Iran deal, the host says rate-sensitive assets should be a tiny or non-existent part of a portfolio unless one is betting on a layoff recession driving rates down fast.Source