What 视野环球财经 said in this video:
- Otherneutralshort-termThe VIX spiked to near 20, meaning downside protection is now being priced in and overall market sentiment is more tense than before, because the major index and semiconductor index have reached key defensive levels.Source
- Valuationnegative for stocksmid-termAnthropic's potential valuation was cut from about USD 2 trillion to about USD 1.5 trillion, mainly due to rising AI financing costs and investor disappointment with its sequential growth pace. This reflects growing concern that AI-sector valuations are too high, with confidence in AI valuation inflation now contracting alongside market sentiment.Source
- AI Capexnegative for stockslong-termThe peaking of AI high growth is the recent main theme; if the peak is expected in late 2027–2028, the market will react about a year earlier. Current growth is high but could be revised down, with all AI semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing potentially adjusting downward; the AI high-growth trade has begun to unwind starting with the storage crash.Source
- COSTneutralThe host said that among US-listed companies he especially likes the financial disclosure of TSMC (TSM) and Costco (COST), because both release key monthly revenue data and communicate well with investors, fulfilling disclosure obligations well; he gave no stock-price direction.Source
- TSMbullishlong-termTSMC's (TSM) third-quarter results were solid, with net profit and revenue beating expectations; gross margin was temporarily pressured by early 2nm ramp but should recover as yields improve. Forward valuation is around 29x, reasonable for a semiconductor manufacturing leader. The host already holds the stock with a very low cost basis and plans to add at 360–378 and buy heavily on panic at 320–350, treating it as a large position; if AI growth slows, defensive room is still needed, so he only buys at high-safety-margin levels.Source
- SPYneutralshort-termThe S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is around 763, with the aggressive 759–776 zone not yet broken; only a drop to 729 would trigger a bearish trend and larger pullback. The position remains high, and capital is rotating from AI high-growth fears into other sectors.Source