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John Howell
4 videos
- Oil & Energypositive for stockslong-termThe host views the energy sector as a good 5+ year buy-and-hold, citing huge fundamental energy demand and noting the sector is already breaking out.Source
- Otherpositive for stockslong-termThe host is long-term bullish on gold, silver, and mining as 5+ year holds based on cycle analysis, viewing short-term corrections in precious metals as irrelevant.Source
- Valuationneutralmid-termThe host does not believe the market is in bubble territory yet, but flags vertical price action and exhaustion volume spikes as the early warning signs to watch over the coming months.Source
- SPYbullishlong-termThe host sees the current sideways S&P pattern repeating 1986's energy-building phase, setting up major long opportunities, and expects the S&P to eventually reach around 9,000.Source
- SPYbearishlong-termWithin roughly 12 months, if the market keeps getting frothy, the host expects a cascading 35-40% correction — the 'next great short' — signaled by a failed rally near the 50% level and a break of the prior low.Source
- SPYneutrallong-termThe host is studying a 60-year cycle on the S&P weekly chart around the 1966 analog, stressing history rhymes but does not repeat, and explicitly frames this as study rather than a market call.Source
- SPYneutrallong-termHis technical framework: a true bear market top is confirmed only when a lower high forms and the prior low breaks; historically that was the warning sign for much more downside.Source
- XLEbullishlong-termThe host has called gold down / XLE up all year; after three years of sideways energy-building, XLE has broken out into a new multi-year bull phase.Source
- GLDbearishlong-termThe host argues gold's two-year bull run has exhausted its energy and a 1–2 year time phase with a typical 50% correction is underway, expecting GLD around 300.Source
- GLDbullishlong-termDespite the near-term correction, the host is long-term bullish, seeing gold reaching 10,000+ over the next ten years once energy is rebuilt.Source
- USObullishlong-termThe host predicted a big USO move at the start of the year based on four years of sideways energy-building, and sees the breakout as that pattern playing out.Source
- CVXbullishmid-termCVX ran from around 150 to 210, then pulled back; the host views the pullback as energy-building and says it is now getting ready to go again.Source
- XOMbullishlong-termThe host uses XOM as a textbook example of three years of sideways energy-building resolving into a bull move, implying the energy uptrend continues.Source
- SPYbearishmid-termThe host sees the S&P 500's long energy-using phase exhausting; the recent breakout is failing and reversing, setting up a correction.Source
6 videos
- Othernegative for stockslong-termThe host has repeatedly declared the gold bull market over, having exited gold late last year before its roughly 30% decline.Source
- XLEbullishlong-termThe host repeatedly champions energy as this year's leading sector, citing a 20-year breakout pattern on XLE and roughly 60% year-to-date gains with a bigger move expected.Source
- TLTbullishlong-termThe host calls for long-duration bonds (TLT/TMF) to rally sharply, saying they are going 'to the moon.'Source
- XLEbullishmid-termThe host sees chart patterns signaling a likely big move in XLE, which is why he focused on it starting late last year.Source
- Oil & Energypositive for stockslong-termEnergy demand from AI, crypto, blockchains, and electric cars will be the key constraint, making energy the best sector this year.Source
- Otherneutralmid-termThe host prefers bonds over gold right now, but gives no standalone directional call on gold itself.Source
- TLTbullishlong-termThe host discloses he is currently invested in the bond market and sees the long-term capitulation and V-bottom on TLT as signaling an imminent mega rally.Source
- AI Capexnegative for stockslong-termThe host sees excessive capex flowing into the AI boom as an overheating effect that could create market kinks next year and feed a bear market.Source
- Othernegative for stockslong-termCiting historical bubble patterns where a slew of IPO supply signals a top, the host expects an equity top to form and a rough, possibly true bear market year in 2027.Source
- DIAbearishshort-termThe host sees the Dow leading the market lower with a double top and a potential head-and-shoulders pattern after peaking in August.Source
- SPYneutralshort-termThe S&P 500 is noted only as slow and lagging alongside the Dow's leadership lower, with no distinct directional call of its own.Source
- Market Breadthpositive for stockslong-termThe host insists this is a healthy correction, not the top, refuses to short the bull market, and expects another strong move to the upside.Source
- IWMbearishshort-termThe Russell formed a weekly double top, broke down, and rolled over before even reaching the 50% Fibonacci retracement, suggesting another leg down.Source
- QQQbearishmid-termThe host expects the Nasdaq correction to extend from roughly 10% down to about 15%, but frames it as a healthy correction, not the top.Source
- Oil & Energypositive for stocksmid-termThe host briefly notes the energy sector has been the strongest performer, in line with his earlier expectations.Source
- Othernegative for stocksmid-termThe host declares the gold bull market over, with a head-and-shoulders breakdown playing out; he expects at least a 50% retracement toward 3,500, possibly as low as 3,000.Source
- Othernegative for stocksshort-termThe host warns any gold bounce is a sucker rally to be sold into, not a bottom, since markets fall in phases with interim rallies.Source
- Othernegative for stocksmid-termThe host sees silver getting crushed, heading to the 40 level, and expects it to go even lower than that.Source
- DIAbearishshort-termThe Dow topped back in August, failed a breakout, and may be forming a weekly head-and-shoulders, so more short-term downside is likely.Source
- SPYbullishlong-termHe repeatedly stresses this is not the top — the bull market is intact, another strong upside move is coming, and he refuses to be short.Source
- IWMbearishshort-termThe Russell double-topped on the weekly and rolled over before even reaching the 50% Fibonacci, so another leg down is possible.Source
- QQQbearishshort-termThe NASDAQ is correcting; he expects the roughly 10% decline to extend toward 15% before forming a higher low and resuming up.Source
- SPYbearishshort-termThe S&P made a false breakout and is rolling over; he expects roughly a 7-10% correction but insists it is a healthy correction, not the top.Source
- Othernegative for stockslong-termHe has called the gold bull market over all year and says the bear market is now heating up, targeting 3500 and possibly 3000 with at least a 50% retracement.Source
- Othernegative for stocksmid-termSilver has been crushed and is nearing his stated 40 target, and he actually expects it to go somewhat lower.Source
- Bonds & Ratespositive for stockslong-termDespite being wrong all year, he still calls bonds the best investment for 2026, citing a capitulation V-bottom and an impending mega rally in TLT.Source
- AI Capexnegative for stockslong-termHe theorizes excessive AI capex plus a flood of IPO supply mirrors the tech bubble, signaling a market top forming over one to two years and a real bear market ahead.Source
- Oil & Energypositive for stocksmid-termHe noted a month ago he was positioning for an upside move in oil, consistent with his energy thesis.Source
- XOMbullishmid-termHe cites his eight-month-old call of a strong breakout in XLE and XOM as part of his energy leadership thesis.Source
- XLEbullishlong-termHe has been all-in on 'King XLE' all year: energy demand from AI and crypto plus a 20-year breakout make it the leading sector, already up about 60% this year.Source
- SPYbearishshort-termThe host expects an 8–10% S&P 500 correction toward roughly 7,000 over the next couple of weeks, a normal pullback within the bull market.Source
- QQQbearishshort-termThe host expects a deeper 10–15% pullback on the Nasdaq alongside the S&P correction, still framed as a bull-market dip.Source
- SPYbullishlong-termThe host stresses the correction is just a higher low in an ongoing bull market, not a top, and repeatedly urges buying the dip.Source
- DIAbearishshort-termThe host notes the Dow is starting to form a slowing-down pattern and expects some near-term bearishness.Source
- IWMbearishshort-termThe host says the Russell is showing the same slowing pattern as the Dow and expects near-term softness.Source
- Othernegative for stockslong-termThe host has been bearish on gold all year, citing a weekly head-and-shoulders top with lower highs; he sees a major downside move with 3,500 as the minimum and an eventual ~50% overall correction before a multi-year energy-building phase.Source
- XLEbullishlong-termThe host calls XLE the new king in town: after a long monthly energy-building phase it broke out as he flagged over a year ago, and has since delivered a roughly 60% move with more expected.Source
- XOMbullishlong-termThe host flagged Exxon Mobil over a year ago during its sideways energy-building phase, called for two years up, and notes it has been advancing ever since.Source
- CVXbullishlong-termThe host made the same two-year upside call on Chevron after its consolidation phase and points out it has been rallying ever since.Source
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