Historically the 3, 6 and 12 months after US midterm elections average gains of 8.1%, 16.4% and 22% with very high win rates, so the host sees the odds favoring the market.
The host frames Palantir's bootcamp sales motion as a hard-to-replicate edge: even rejected buyers return after their own attempts fail, supporting rapid commercial revenue growth.
The host argues Palantir's moat is its Ontology — a live map of a company's real-world operations — not the commoditized AI model, and that this advantage compounds as apps reuse the same map.
The host is long-term bullish on gold, silver, and mining as 5+ year holds based on cycle analysis, viewing short-term corrections in precious metals as irrelevant.
The host insists this is a healthy correction, not the top, refuses to short the bull market, and expects another strong move to the upside.
He repeatedly stresses this is not the top — the bull market is intact, another strong upside move is coming, and he refuses to be short.
Despite the near-term correction, the host is long-term bullish, seeing gold reaching 10,000+ over the next ten years once energy is rebuilt.
The host stresses the correction is just a higher low in an ongoing bull market, not a top, and repeatedly urges buying the dip.
The host reads the bond V-bottom as signaling 2025 could be a rough year for equities, with money rotating into bonds.
The host argues the decline around the Iran-war headlines was a normal healthy pullback within a larger bull trend on the weekly chart, after which the market continues higher.
Among his calls for the year, he projects the S&P 500 rallying to 9000.
The host stresses this is a healthy correction, not the top, and sees another strong upside move ahead; his published call list included an S&P 500 rally to 9000.
The host views the current stock market pullback as a normal correction within a large bull market that will form a higher low and then resume upward, not a market top.
The host frames the decline as a healthy correction within a big bull market, not the top; he is not short and expects another strong move to the upside afterward.
Repeated many times: gold is in a resting, energy-building phase after the third stair step on the weekly chart, likely lasting 6-12 months total before another big move higher.
He notes silver is doing the exact same thing as gold — resting after a big move within the same phase structure, with another big move expected afterward.
The host repeatedly stresses this is only a correction within a bull market, not a top, and advises buying the dip ahead of the next slingshot move higher.
He applies the same read to the Dow: the pullback after the high is a normal correction, and a trend stays in effect until a definite reversal signal appears.
Despite the near-term correction view, the host is very bullish long term, seeing gold at 10,000+ over the next ten years once the energy-building phase completes.
The host sees the current sideways S&P pattern repeating 1986's energy-building phase, setting up major long opportunities, and expects the S&P to eventually reach around 9,000.
The host argues debt is a problem but not today's problem: this is a growth cycle, not a debt-reckoning cycle, so spending and deficits are not an immediate economic threat.
The host remains bullish that a US-Iran deal gets done and the panic passes, citing the circulated draft proposal and Iran's shift from 7 days to 2 on opening Hormuz, though timing may slip.
Brent falling 4.2% on the day is read as the market pricing in a potential deal, which would pressure oil prices further if reached.
The host agrees with JPMorgan's tactical bullish call: extreme fear alongside a holding economy, equal-weight near all-time highs, and 8 of 11 sectors up shows the market is not falling apart, with a favorable pre-midterm seasonal window.
The market is seeing the largest de-grossing and extreme shorting, with short leverage at the 99th percentile over five years; this extreme positioning sets up for an epic short-squeeze rally.
The host reads the Doha talks and the shifted US tone as optimistic; even the hope of an Iran deal sends markets straight up.
Nvidia is his top-conviction name: asset-light with only $15–20B capex, trading under 13x next-year earnings, a 'very, very strong buy' below $200.
The host views NVIDIA as a high-quality, highly profitable and liquid business; he finds anything under $200 unbelievable and identifies $210 as resistance, arguing the stock is falling to very attractive levels amid the AI sell-off.
Google's inventory build of self-developed AI chips causes short-term pain and missed free cash flow, but the inventory will convert to revenue and profits faster; Wall Street misunderstands this and Google will surprise to the upside next year.
Microsoft delivered strong results with prudent finances and sits at all-time highs; dips are great opportunities and once above moving averages they provide support, with a grind through the 540 range.
Meta has moved sideways year-to-date; pullbacks into the 550 range are a great opportunity. There is support at 540 and upside potential to retest all-time highs at 780-800.
Big tech is investing heavily in AI infrastructure that is printing record revenue and profits; therefore dips are an early Christmas gift and the music will not stop.
Gold and silver are in capitulation mode with clean daily downtrends at one-year lows; the market is saying a bottom is not yet in.
Software may be topping out: losing 103 sets a monthly lower high with a target in the mid-90s; weekly lower highs in CRWD/PANW would confirm a shift into monthly consolidation.
The host believes the stock is priced for perfection, so even a beat more likely than not leads to a 5–15% short-term drop unless Palantir delivers a triple beat on guidance, consensus, and acceleration.
QQQ's 706.58 is a programmatic trigger; this week's break below it caused a no-rebound sell-off, while 725.71 failed as a mid-term resistance. The host says the index must reclaim 706.58 next week; a valid break above it should be met with adding longs as the rally restarts. If 680 breaks instead, a larger selling wave follows, making 680 the key downside support.
QQQ gapped below its prior low into a downtrend; the host sees continued downside as only slightly more likely (55/45), with supports at 677, 660, and 630.
NVIDIA, the AI leader that had kept higher lows, broke two prior lows on Friday and broke its mid-term uptrend, which surprised the host.
Friday's drop landed exactly on the pre-marked 750.4 heavy support with volume; unless it opens below 748.26, a daily-level bounce is likely, potentially filling the 766.7 gap.
Rate-hike uncertainty has weakened market liquidity, so the host's macro bias is to the weak side — the main reason any bounce may struggle to extend.
High-position mega-caps like Microsoft are currently propping up the index; if liquidity deteriorates into a crisis, they will all fall together, so special caution is warranted.
After a significant correction in Q3, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is near its long-term moving average, with multiple supports around 10,000, including the round number, annual line, and golden ratio; a rebound is likely after the short-term decline.
A major cryptocurrency hack undermines confidence in stablecoins; compared with holding dollars in a bank to invest in stocks, crypto assets carry theft risk, negatively affecting stablecoins.
The AI revolution is far from over; in a few to a dozen years it will permeate most aspects of life and work, and robots will serve humans. Thus long-term opportunities remain, though the short term is undergoing a violent shakeout.