What Zac美股笔记 said in this video:
- InflationneutralThe worry that rising inflation will bring rate hikes is not the fundamental reason for this US stock selloff; it is only a short-term sentiment factor. The real root cause is the market's doubt about whether AI can monetize.Source
- AI Capexpositive for stockslong-termHumanity already cannot live without AI, and future use cases will keep expanding, so demand for chips, computing power, electricity, storage, and optical communications will not decline over the next three to five years; the probability of an AI collapse is very small.Source
- TSMbullishlong-termTSMC is advancing nearly twenty fabs globally, showing that AI-related demand is real and huge; a company like this will not rashly build unnecessary factories, so its fundamentals are solid and it is not a cyclical stock.Source
- OtherneutralThe market fear and greed index is currently at 18, already in extreme fear territory, but the host estimates it is unlikely to fall to single digits as it did in late March because there is no equally major global panic news right now.Source
- QQQbullishshort-termThe Nasdaq's Friday low did not break the previous low, moving averages remain in a bullish alignment, and there is no top divergence, indicating the uptrend is intact. The host expects the index to rebound and then make new highs rather than entering a downtrend, with the near-term low likely already set on Friday or due on Monday and a rebound by Tuesday at the latest.Source
- ASMLbullishshort-termThe host bought two shares of ASML on Friday at 1669; he originally expected it to rebound, but it was dragged down by the broader market and is currently at a loss, and he plans to explain the position in a dedicated future video.Source